The next decade may not be the same as the next decade.
If you’re planning to live in the UK or US, you may be better off starting now, because it is likely you will be better able to afford a house.
That’s according to a new study by mortgage broker Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
The firm’s analysis of 10,000 house sales and mortgage applications over a three-year period found that while many of the trends it observed in the previous decade are still with us, the current trend is “quite different from the last decade”.
“The last decade was very different from previous decades,” said David Cramer, chief executive of Bank of American Merrill Lynch, in a conference call with analysts on Thursday.
“People didn’t want to be stuck with a mortgage that’s too high, they didn’t like the idea of having to take on more debt to get a house, and so on.”
This is partly because of the increasing number of people living in places where house prices are higher than their incomes.
But Cramer also believes it has to do with a number of factors.
“The number of homebuyers has fallen over the last 10 years, which is probably a reflection of lower demand and higher price appreciation,” he said.
“In particular, it’s the number of families that are able to buy more than one home that is changing.”
House prices in London and the US rose by around 20% and 20% respectively in the same period.
The gap between the UK and US’s average house price was wider, though, at more than 10 times the UK average.
That’s because the cost of buying a house in the two cities has been rising more slowly than in the US, which has seen the cost rise by about 15% over the same time period.
“That’s a reflection that we’re seeing some of the same trends in the house price growth that we saw in the broader US housing market,” said Cramer.
The average price in London was $838,000, a 14% increase from $742,000 a year ago, while the average price for a detached house was $1,611,000.
Meanwhile, the cost to buy an average-priced home in the three US states of California, New York and Texas, rose by 10% to $873,000 last year, while average prices in those states rose by 13% to about $1.2 million.
The findings, published in the latest edition of the Mortgage Bankers Association’s monthly mortgage report, were based on an analysis of the mortgage applications made by the firms across the 10 largest metropolitan areas in the United States.
While prices have risen by around $500,000 per person in New York, Texas and California over the past three years, they haven’t reached the levels seen in the early 2000s.
Mortgage agents say it’s too soon to declare the next house price bubble, and that it is too early to say if the next two house price bubbles will burst.
But, if you’re in the market to buy, the latest report does suggest that the trend is not necessarily the result of the global financial crisis or the Brexit vote, as some economists have argued.
“If we look at the housing market in the 10 years prior to the financial crisis, we would have expected the bubble to be in place by now, but we would also have expected it to be more limited in scope,” said Scott Merten, chief economist at Mortgage Banker’s Association.
“So what we are seeing is that we are in a period of quite different house price trends than we have been for the past 10 years.”
The report also suggests that house prices will be able to increase further in the years ahead, despite the slowdown in economic activity.
The report shows that median house prices in the U.S. are set to rise by 10%, and by 25% in California.
The report states that the average mortgage payment will be $2,852 a month in 2020, up by more than $20 a year.
According to the analysis, the median home price in the state of California will rise by more $1 million a year, or 10% a year over the next 10 years.
But, the report notes, the average payment in the five other states, with median home prices of $1 billion and $1 trillion, will increase by only 6% a decade.
The mortgage industry has been working hard to get out ahead of this trend.
Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz, in his speech on Thursday, said that the Canadian economy is facing a real headwind, and he warned against a rush to panic.
“We need to be careful about the rush to judgment that might be a tendency to make premature decisions that could have a negative impact on the economy,” he told reporters.
“The reality is that, while we have seen the first signs of an increase in house prices, we have yet to see the second